A "simple" problem and experiment

Your child is interested in experimenting with how far a potato gun will fire a potato about the size of a softball. Your neighbor (75 meters away) has threaten that if a potato ends up in his yard he will call the home-owners association. Your child has agreed to the following parameter for your decision. They will use no more than 10.5 drops of lighter fluid in a shot. What are your chances the home-owners association is getting a call? Make a decision for your budding rocket scientist.

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